Wildfires of summer 2026: what the global data say

by Thomas Lepeltier | 9 Sep 2026 | Our experts in the media, Climate, Collapse

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Key points

  • In France: unprecedented fires since satellite records began in 2012.
  • In Europe: opposite situations depending on the country.
  • Worldwide: a rather calm year in 2026 so far, and a burned area that has fallen over twenty years.
  • The lesson: a local disaster does not prejudge the situation of the planet as a whole; prevention remains a priority.

🔥 Is the world burning?

In Causeur, Thomas Lepeltier, director of APALA’s think tank, looks back at the exceptional fires of summer 2026 in France, and at the impression they left of an entire planet in flames.

🔎 His thesis
The fires in France were the worst since 2012. But satellite data describe a rather calm year on a global scale: a local disaster does not tell us the state of the planet.

🧭 Three arguments
1. The low number of fires in Africa and South America explains a moderate global total.
2. Over twenty years, the area burned worldwide each year has been declining, mainly thanks to the decline in savannah fires.
3. Cameras film forests in flames, not the millions of hectares that do not burn.

💬 Why we are sharing it
APALA champions an ecology grounded in data. Prevention remains a priority, and global warming may increase the risk: but we need to distinguish an event from a trend.

👉 Our structured summary and the link to the original column:

Is the world burning? 🔥

In Causeur, Thomas Lepeltier, director of our think tank, points out that the exceptional fires of summer 2026 in France contrast with a rather calm year on a global scale. To understand, it is better to look at the statistics than at the screens.

Our summary in three arguments, with the link to the original column 👇

Is the world burning? 🔥

Thomas Lepeltier, director of APALA’s think tank, compares in Causeur the summer fires in France with global data.

His three arguments:
1️⃣ 2026 is a rather calm year on a global scale
2️⃣ The area burned has declined over twenty years
3️⃣ Images do not show what does not burn

Full summary and link to the column: link in bio.

#APALA #thinktank #transitions #incendies #climat #données #environnement #débat #Causeur

by Thomas Lepeltier, Causeur, 9 September 2026

The fires of summer 2026 were exceptional in France. But satellite records show a rather calm year worldwide and a burned area that has fallen over twenty years: a local disaster does not tell us the state of the planet.

In brief

  • France experienced fires this year that were unprecedented since satellite records began in 2012, with very real evacuations and trauma.
  • In Europe, the picture is mixed: a bad season in Spain, Portugal and Germany, but levels far below the usual in Romania, Croatia and Greece.
  • Globally, the Global Wildfire Information System, which tracks fires by satellite, describes 2026 as a rather calm year so far.
In France, the area burned in 2026 exceeds the maximum for 2012–2025 (110,000 hectares at week 40, against a previous peak of 94,000)…
… while the world is experiencing the calmest year in the series (181 million hectares, below the minimum of 213 million). Satellite data from the Global Wildfire Information System, updated by Our World in Data on 12/10/2026.

The column’s three arguments

1. The data

A calm year worldwide

The low number of fires in Africa, which usually accounts for more than half of the area burned, and in South America explains this moderate global picture.

2. The trend

Less area burned over twenty years

The area burned each year worldwide is declining, mainly because savannah and scrub fires are decreasing. This does not make the French fires any less serious: prevention remains a priority, especially as warming may increase the risk.

Worldwide, across all four vegetation types combined, the area burned fell from 463 million hectares in 2002 to 333 million in 2025 (−28%). The decline comes from scrubland and grassland (213 → 143 million ha) and savannas (184 → 142); burned forest area, however, has not fallen (25 million ha in 2002, 35 in 2024, 25 in 2025).
3. Perceptions

Cameras do not film what does not burn

Forests in flames make striking images; the millions of hectares spared do not. Hence our tendency to extrapolate a local disaster to the whole planet.

‘To know whether the world is burning, it is therefore better to look at statistical series than at television screens.’Thomas Lepeltier, Causeur, 9 September 2026

Why this debate interests us

APALA advocates an ecology that starts from the data. This column shows how the legitimate emotion aroused by a nearby disaster can distort our perception of a global phenomenon, without denying either the seriousness of the fires or the role of warming in the risk. It is a good illustration of the difference between an event and a trend.

Questions for debate

  1. How can we talk about a local disaster without making it the symbol of a global crisis, or downplaying it?
  2. What place should the media give to statistical series as against images?
  3. Can the fall in burned areas worldwide coexist with a rise in risk in certain regions?

To go further on apala.fr

Summary written by Claude (Opus 5.5 model), an artificial intelligence, for APALA, based on the article published in Causeur on 9 September 2026. The views expressed are those of the author. Spotted a mistake? Write to us.

Read the article on Causeur ↗

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