Climate: why Bill Gates’s change of tone deserves to be welcomed

by Thomas Lepeltier | 14 Nov 2025 | Our experts in the media, Climate, Collapse

Reading time is .

Key points

  • The change of tone: in late 2025, Bill Gates criticises prophecies of climate collapse.
  • Not a repudiation: he acknowledges the harmful effects of global warming, especially for the poorest.
  • The priorities: poverty and disease kill more people today than heat and extreme events.
  • The conclusion: fighting global warming at the cost of a poorer world would be absurd.

🌡️ Can we think about the climate without apocalypse?

In Causeur, Thomas Lepeltier, director of APALA’s think tank, returns to the text published by Bill Gates on the eve of COP30, which distances itself from prophecies of collapse.

🔎 His thesis
Gates has not repudiated climate science. He points out that global warming is not the only urgent issue, and that it would be absurd to fight it at the cost of a poorer world.

🧭 Three arguments
1. Gates acknowledges the harmful effects of global warming, especially for the poorest; he only disputes the idea of the end of humanity.
2. Even today, more people die from poverty and disease than from heat or extreme events.
3. These scourges are fought through innovation and growth.

💬 Why we’re sharing it
APALA seeks to rank actions according to their real effectiveness. This column raises a question of priorities that is often sidestepped.

👉 Our structured summary and the link to the original column:

Can we think about the climate without apocalypse? 🌡️

In Causeur, Thomas Lepeltier, director of our think tank, analyses Bill Gates’s change of tone: not a repudiation of science, but a reminder that poverty and disease remain the greatest threats to the poorest.

Our summary in three arguments, with the link to the original column 👇

Can we think about the climate without apocalypse? 🌡️

Thomas Lepeltier, director of APALA’s think tank, looks back in Causeur at Bill Gates’s change of tone.

His three arguments:
1️⃣ Not a repudiation of climate science
2️⃣ Poverty and disease still kill more people
3️⃣ Innovation and growth remain solutions

Full summary and link to the column: link in bio.

#APALA #thinktank #transitions #climat #BillGates #pauvreté #innovation #COP30 #débat #Causeur

by Thomas Lepeltier, Causeur, 14 November 2025

On the eve of COP30, Bill Gates distanced himself from prophecies of climate collapse. He has not repudiated climate science, the article stresses: he points out that global warming is not the only urgent issue and that it would be absurd to fight it at the cost of a poorer world.

In brief

  • In 2021, in his book Climat. Comment éviter un désastre, the founder of Microsoft presented global warming as one of the greatest perils of our time.
  • On the eve of COP30, on his website Gates Notes, he criticises discourse that predicts the end of humanity, without downplaying the reality of global warming.
  • Some, including Donald Trump, saw this as a repudiation; the author considers that reading misleading and sides with Gates on the essentials.

The column’s three arguments

1. The science

Not a repudiation

Gates acknowledges that global warming will have harmful effects, especially for the poorest. He merely disputes the idea that it will lead to the disappearance of humanity.

2. The priorities

Poverty and disease kill more

Even today, more people die from poverty and the diseases that accompany it than from heat or extreme weather events. The fight for the climate must not come at their expense.

3. The means

Innovation and growth

For Gates, these scourges are fought through technological innovation and economic growth, which means not sacrificing development to emissions reduction alone.

The number of people living on less than $3 a day has fallen by a factor of 2.7 since 2000, but there were still 824 million of them in 2024, and 3.8 billion people were living on less than $8.30 a day: poverty remains a massive problem, one that the fight for the climate must not make worse.
‘He therefore deserves credit for reminding us that global warming is not the only urgent issue and that it would be absurd to fight it at the cost of a poorer world.’Thomas Lepeltier, Causeur, 14 November 2025

Why this debate interests us

APALA seeks to rank actions according to their real effectiveness, for the climate as well as for human wellbeing. This column raises a question of priorities that is often avoided: how can we tackle global warming without losing sight of poverty and health, which weigh more heavily today in the lives of the poorest? It also invites us to read a change of tone without caricaturing it, in one direction or the other.

Questions for debate

  1. Should global emergencies be ranked in order of priority, and by what criteria?
  2. Are the fight against global warming and the fight against poverty complementary or in competition?
  3. Does the discourse of collapse help to mobilise people, or does it divert attention from solutions?

To go further on apala.fr

Summary written by Claude (Opus 5.5 model), an artificial intelligence, for APALA, based on the article published in Causeur on 14 November 2025. The views expressed are those of the author. Spotted a mistake? Write to us.

Read the article on Causeur ↗

Guidance: what if AI governed us through good advice?

In Le Point, Thomas Lepeltier presents Antoine Buéno’s ‘Guidance’: the danger of AI would be less that it exterminates us than that it advises us too well. Our summary in three arguments.

Wildfires of summer 2026: what the global data say

In Causeur, Thomas Lepeltier compares the exceptional wildfires of summer 2026 in France with global satellite data, which describe a rather calm year. Our summary in three arguments.

Does organic farming keep its promises? Naturalness put to the test of the facts

In Atlantico, Thomas Lepeltier challenges the founding principle of organic farming, the preference for the natural over the synthetic, and judges its record to be more nuanced than its image. Our summary in three arguments.

A future without suffering? A video to open the debate

With The Flares, APALA offers a short foresight video: what if reducing avoidable suffering, among humans and other animals alike, were one of the great undertakings of the century?

Biodiversity: a public exchange with Tatiana Giraud

In Causeur, Thomas Lepeltier criticised the way Tatiana Giraud presents biodiversity; she replied, and he responded in turn. Our summary of the three texts: arguments, quotations and questions for debate.

Performance or robustness? Olivier Hamant’s thesis challenged

In Le Point, Thomas Lepeltier challenges the opposition between performance and robustness defended by the biologist Olivier Hamant: in his view, the resilience of societies comes from innovation and efficiency. Our summary in three arguments.

Natural or synthetic? What the ban on copper says about organic farming

In Causeur, Thomas Lepeltier draws a lesson from the withdrawal of copper-based fungicides decided by Anses: judge each product by its effects, not by whether it is natural or synthetic. Our summary in three arguments.

AI and extinction: Yudkowsky and Soares’s thesis in question

In Le Point, Thomas Lepeltier examines the thesis of Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares that a superintelligent AI would exterminate humanity. Our summary in three arguments.

Climate: why Bill Gates’s change of tone deserves to be welcomed

In Causeur, Thomas Lepeltier analyses Bill Gates’s change of tone on climate: not a repudiation of science, but a reminder that poverty and disease remain the greatest threats. Our summary in three arguments.

Sufficiency: a critique of Philippe Bihouix’s vision

In Le Point, Thomas Lepeltier responds to Philippe Bihouix: choosing sufficiency from today underestimates our capacity to innovate, and abundance would be the condition for sustainability. Our summary in three arguments.

0 comments

make a donation!

Public-interest association: €10 from you means nearly €30 for us, after tax relief.

Understand how it works